Swiss glaciers 1850–2100

Glacier de Zinal

IceIce lost since 1850This glacier

Past extents come from the Swiss Glacier Inventories of 1850, 1931, 1973 and 2016. Future extents are illustrative: each glacier’s projected area (OGGM, median of CMIP6 climate models) is removed from its lowest ice upward. About the scenarios.

Inventory 13.45km² Area in 2016 · ±0% compared with 2016
Area 201613.45km²13th largest
Elevation2,074–4,127mmedian 3,126 m
Length7.3kmfaces north
Area since 1850−25%17.92 km² in 1850
Tongue since 1891−1,800m124 measurements
Thinning 1932–2023−40maverage surface lowering
Ice left in 21008%of 2020 volume, SSP2-4.5

Glacier de Zinal is the 13th-largest glacier in Switzerland, covering 13.45 km² in the canton of Valais. Its ice spans 2,074 to 4,127 m and faces north. Its meltwater drains to the Rhône and on to the Mediterranean. In 1850, at the end of the Little Ice Age, it covered 17.92 km²; by 2016 it had lost 25% of that area. Its tongue has been measured 124 times since 1891. In total it has retreated 1,800 m, about 13.6 m a year. Between 1932 and 2023 its surface dropped by 40 m on average. With strong climate protection (SSP1-2.6), about 29% of its 2020 ice would remain in 2100. With very high emissions (SSP5-8.5) it would be gone around 2078. Its meltwater peaked around 2020.

Pictures

In pictures

Glacier de Zinal in 2004.
Glacier de Zinal in 2004. Tinelot Wittermans · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Future

What remains in 2100

SSP1-2.6 · low emissions29%40% left in 2050
SSP2-4.5 · intermediate emissions8%38% left in 2050
SSP3-7.0 · high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2095
SSP5-8.5 · very high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2078
SSP1-2.6SSP2-4.5SSP3-7.0SSP5-8.5
0%25%50%75%100%2020204020602080210029%8%0%0%
Ice volume as a share of 2020, median of 14 climate models; shaded: middle two-thirds of models. OGGM v1.6.

Meltwater

Million m³ of water per year, 11-year mean

025507520102030205020702090
Water leaving the glacier area each year: ice melt, snowmelt and rain. It rises while the glacier melts faster, then falls as the ice runs out: “peak water”.
Measured

The record

Length change since 1891

Position of the glacier tongue, measured in the field almost every year. Hover for each measurement.

−2,000 m−1,500 m−1,000 m−500 m0 m1900192019401960198020002020−1,800 m
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Length Change, release 2025.

Thinning since 1932

Average change in surface height, from comparing elevation models made from maps, aerial images and laser scans.

−40 m−30 m−20 m−10 m0 m19401960198020002020−40 m
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Volume Change, release 2025.
Profile

Facts

Area over time

185017.92 km²193116.64 km²197315.70 km²201613.45 km²2050 · SSP2-4.57.74 km²2100 · SSP2-4.52.25 km²

Past areas are the ice body this glacier belonged to at the time. Projections: OGGM median, SSP2-4.5.

SGI id
B63-05
Canton
Valais
River
Rhône → Mediterranean
Basin
Anniviers & Turtmann
Location
46.0580° N, 7.6390° E · swisstopo map
Elevation
2,074–4,127 m, median 3,126 m
Slope, aspect
23°, north
Debris cover
2.62 km² (19% of the area)
Inventory image
2016
Ice volume (model)
≈ 0.687 km³ in 2020 (OGGM)
RGI ids
RGI60-11.02630, RGI60-11.02720, RGI60-11.02723, RGI60-11.02727
Sources

Sources

  1. Linsbauer et al. (2021). The new Swiss Glacier Inventory SGI2016. Frontiers in Earth Science 9. doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.704189
  2. Mannerfelt et al. (2022). Halving of Swiss glacier volume since 1931 observed from terrestrial image photogrammetry. The Cryosphere 16. doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-3249-2022
  3. GLAMOS – Glacier Monitoring Switzerland. www.glamos.ch
  4. Zekollari et al. (2024). Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations. The Cryosphere 18 (OGGM v1.6 projections). tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/5045/2024/

Relief: swisstopo swissALTIRegio. 1850 and 1973 outlines: Maisch et al. (2000), Müller et al. (1976), Paul (2004). Length, mass balance and volume change: GLAMOS releases 2025. All sources and methods.

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