Swiss glaciers 1850–2100

Haut Glacier d'Arolla

IceIce lost since 1850This glacier

Past extents come from the Swiss Glacier Inventories of 1850, 1931, 1973 and 2016. Future extents are illustrative: each glacier’s projected area (OGGM, median of CMIP6 climate models) is removed from its lowest ice upward. About the scenarios.

Inventory 3.62km² Area in 2016 · ±0% compared with 2016
Area 20163.62km²55th largest
Elevation2,584–3,575mmedian 2,976 m
Length3.7kmfaces north
1850 ice body16.4km²now 7 glaciers
Thinning 1933–2023−65maverage surface lowering
Ice left in 21000%of 2020 volume, SSP2-4.5

Haut Glacier d'Arolla is the 55th-largest glacier in Switzerland, covering 3.62 km² in the canton of Valais. Its ice spans 2,584 to 3,575 m and faces north. Its meltwater drains to the Rhône and on to the Mediterranean. In 1850 it was part of a larger ice body of 16.4 km², which has since split into 7 glaciers covering 9.5 km² in 2016 (−42%). Between 1933 and 2023 its surface dropped by 65 m on average. With strong climate protection (SSP1-2.6), about 1% of its 2020 ice would remain in 2100. With very high emissions (SSP5-8.5) it would be gone around 2053. Its meltwater peaked around 2023.

Future

What remains in 2100

SSP1-2.6 · low emissions1%Ice gone around 2082
SSP2-4.5 · intermediate emissionsGoneIce gone around 2066
SSP3-7.0 · high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2061
SSP5-8.5 · very high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2053
SSP1-2.6SSP2-4.5SSP3-7.0SSP5-8.5
0%25%50%75%100%202020402060208021001%0%0%0%
Ice volume as a share of 2020, median of 14 climate models; shaded: middle two-thirds of models. OGGM v1.6.

Meltwater

Million m³ of water per year, 11-year mean

051015202520102030205020702090
Water leaving the glacier area each year: ice melt, snowmelt and rain. It rises while the glacier melts faster, then falls as the ice runs out: “peak water”.
Measured

The record

Thinning since 1933

Average change in surface height, from comparing elevation models made from maps, aerial images and laser scans.

−75 m−50 m−25 m0 m19401960198020002020−65 m
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Volume Change, release 2025.
Profile

Facts

Area over time

185016.39 km²193112.92 km²19735.81 km²20163.62 km²2050 · SSP2-4.50.34 km²2100 · SSP2-4.50.01 km²

Past areas are the ice body this glacier belonged to at the time. Projections: OGGM median, SSP2-4.5.

SGI id
B73-12
Canton
Valais
River
Rhône → Mediterranean
Basin
Hérens & Nendaz
Location
45.9651° N, 7.5302° E · swisstopo map
Elevation
2,584–3,575 m, median 2,976 m
Slope, aspect
18°, north
Debris cover
0.61 km² (17% of the area)
Inventory image
2016
Ice volume (model)
≈ 0.154 km³ in 2020 (OGGM)
RGI ids
RGI60-11.02810, RGI60-11.02835, RGI60-11.02863, RGI60-11.02867, RGI60-11.02874
In 1850 joined with
Glacier des Bouquetins zentral, Pointe Barnes, Bas Glacier d'Arolla, Glacier des Bouquetins N, Glacier des Bouquentins S, Glacier d'Otemma N
Sources

Sources

  1. Linsbauer et al. (2021). The new Swiss Glacier Inventory SGI2016. Frontiers in Earth Science 9. doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.704189
  2. Mannerfelt et al. (2022). Halving of Swiss glacier volume since 1931 observed from terrestrial image photogrammetry. The Cryosphere 16. doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-3249-2022
  3. GLAMOS – Glacier Monitoring Switzerland. www.glamos.ch
  4. Zekollari et al. (2024). Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations. The Cryosphere 18 (OGGM v1.6 projections). tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/5045/2024/

Relief: swisstopo swissALTIRegio. 1850 and 1973 outlines: Maisch et al. (2000), Müller et al. (1976), Paul (2004). Length, mass balance and volume change: GLAMOS releases 2025. All sources and methods.

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