Swiss glaciers 1850–2100

Vorabgletscher

IceIce lost since 1850This glacier

Past extents come from the Swiss Glacier Inventories of 1850, 1931, 1973 and 2016. Future extents are illustrative: each glacier’s projected area (OGGM, median of CMIP6 climate models) is removed from its lowest ice upward. About the scenarios.

Inventory 1.20km² Area in 2016 · ±0% compared with 2016
Area 20161.20km²142nd largest
Elevation2,621–2,970mmedian 2,701 m
Length1.8kmfaces east
1850 ice body4.5km²now 2 glaciers
Tongue since 1882−1,491m95 measurements
Thinning 1985–2022−29maverage surface lowering
Ice left in 21000%of 2020 volume, SSP2-4.5

Vorabgletscher is one of 1,400 glaciers in Switzerland, covering 1.20 km² in the canton of Graubünden. Its ice spans 2,621 to 2,970 m and faces east. Its meltwater drains to the Rhine and on to the North Sea. In 1850 it was part of a larger ice body of 4.5 km², which has since split into 2 glaciers covering 1.2 km² in 2016 (−73%). Its tongue has been measured 95 times since 1882. In total it has retreated 1,491 m, about 10.5 m a year. Its mass balance has been measured since 2012: on average −1.47 m of water equivalent per year, with the most negative year in 2015 (−2.02 m). Between 1985 and 2022 its surface dropped by 29 m on average. With strong climate protection (SSP1-2.6), about 0% of its 2020 ice would remain in 2100. With very high emissions (SSP5-8.5) it would be gone around 2042. Its meltwater is projected to peak around 2026.

Pictures

In pictures

Vorabgletscher in 2010.
Vorabgletscher in 2010. Caumasee · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Future

What remains in 2100

SSP1-2.6 · low emissionsGoneIce gone around 2044
SSP2-4.5 · intermediate emissionsGoneIce gone around 2042
SSP3-7.0 · high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2043
SSP5-8.5 · very high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2042
SSP1-2.6SSP2-4.5SSP3-7.0SSP5-8.5
0%25%50%75%100%202020402060208021000%0%0%0%
Ice volume as a share of 2020, median of 14 climate models; shaded: middle two-thirds of models. OGGM v1.6.

Meltwater

Million m³ of water per year, 11-year mean

024681020102030205020702090
Water leaving the glacier area each year: ice melt, snowmelt and rain. It rises while the glacier melts faster, then falls as the ice runs out: “peak water”.
Measured

The record

Length change since 1882

Position of the glacier tongue, measured in the field almost every year. Hover for each measurement.

−1,500 m−1,250 m−1,000 m−750 m−500 m−250 m0 m190019251950197520002025−1,491 m
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Length Change, release 2025.

Mass balance 2012–2016

Ice gained (blue) or lost (red) over the whole glacier each year, in metres of water equivalent. Measured with stakes drilled into the ice.

−2.5−2.0−1.5−1.0−0.50.00.52015
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Mass Balance, release 2025. Cumulative since 2012: −7.3 m water equivalent.

Thinning since 1985

Average change in surface height, from comparing elevation models made from maps, aerial images and laser scans.

−30 m−20 m−10 m0 m1990200020102020−29 m
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Volume Change, release 2025.
Profile

Facts

Area over time

18504.54 km²19313.00 km²19732.59 km²20161.20 km²2050 · SSP2-4.50.01 km²2100 · SSP2-4.50.00 km²

Past areas are the ice body this glacier belonged to at the time. Projections: OGGM median, SSP2-4.5.

SGI id
A14p-01
Canton
Graubünden
River
Rhine → North Sea
Basin
Alpine Rhine
Location
46.8768° N, 9.1679° E · swisstopo map
Elevation
2,621–2,970 m, median 2,701 m
Slope, aspect
12°, east
Debris cover
0.04 km² (3% of the area)
Inventory image
2014
Ice volume (model)
≈ 0.058 km³ in 2020 (OGGM)
RGI ids
RGI60-11.00752
In 1850 joined with
Unnamed glacier A50h-11
Sources

Sources

  1. Linsbauer et al. (2021). The new Swiss Glacier Inventory SGI2016. Frontiers in Earth Science 9. doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.704189
  2. Mannerfelt et al. (2022). Halving of Swiss glacier volume since 1931 observed from terrestrial image photogrammetry. The Cryosphere 16. doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-3249-2022
  3. GLAMOS – Glacier Monitoring Switzerland. www.glamos.ch
  4. Zekollari et al. (2024). Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations. The Cryosphere 18 (OGGM v1.6 projections). tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/5045/2024/

Relief: swisstopo swissALTIRegio. 1850 and 1973 outlines: Maisch et al. (2000), Müller et al. (1976), Paul (2004). Length, mass balance and volume change: GLAMOS releases 2025. All sources and methods.

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