Swiss glaciers 1850–2100

Glacier des Follâts

IceIce lost since 1850This glacier

Past extents come from the Swiss Glacier Inventories of 1850, 1931, 1973 and 2016. Future extents are illustrative: each glacier’s projected area (OGGM, median of CMIP6 climate models) is removed from its lowest ice upward. About the scenarios.

Inventory 1.22km² Area in 2016 · ±0% compared with 2016
Area 20161.22km²140th largest
Elevation2,680–3,684mmedian 3,434 m
Length2.6kmfaces north-east
1850 ice body20.7km²now 4 glaciers
Thinning 2010–2023−6maverage surface lowering
Ice left in 21000%of 2020 volume, SSP2-4.5

Glacier des Follâts is one of 1,400 glaciers in Switzerland, covering 1.22 km² in the canton of Valais. Its ice spans 2,680 to 3,684 m and faces north-east. Its meltwater drains to the Rhône and on to the Mediterranean. In 1850 it was part of a larger ice body of 20.7 km², which has since split into 4 glaciers covering 16.7 km² in 2016 (−19%). Between 2010 and 2023 its surface dropped by 6 m on average. With strong climate protection (SSP1-2.6), about 0% of its 2020 ice would remain in 2100. With very high emissions (SSP5-8.5) it would be gone around 2021. Its meltwater peaked around 2008.

Future

What remains in 2100

SSP1-2.6 · low emissionsGoneIce gone around 2021
SSP2-4.5 · intermediate emissionsGoneIce gone around 2021
SSP3-7.0 · high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2021
SSP5-8.5 · very high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2021
SSP1-2.6SSP2-4.5SSP3-7.0SSP5-8.5
0%25%50%75%100%202020402060208021000%0%0%0%
Ice volume as a share of 2020, median of 14 climate models; shaded: middle two-thirds of models. OGGM v1.6.

Meltwater

Million m³ of water per year, 11-year mean

00.10.10.120102030205020702090
Water leaving the glacier area each year: ice melt, snowmelt and rain. It rises while the glacier melts faster, then falls as the ice runs out: “peak water”.
Measured

The record

Thinning since 2010

Average change in surface height, from comparing elevation models made from maps, aerial images and laser scans.

−8 m−5 m−2 m0 m201020152020−6 m
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Volume Change, release 2025.
Profile

Facts

Area over time

185020.71 km²193118.98 km²197317.79 km²20161.22 km²2050 · SSP2-4.50.00 km²2100 · SSP2-4.50.00 km²

Past areas are the ice body this glacier belonged to at the time. Projections: OGGM median, SSP2-4.5.

SGI id
B83-15
Canton
Valais
River
Rhône → Mediterranean
Basin
Dranse
Location
45.9792° N, 7.2717° E · swisstopo map
Elevation
2,680–3,684 m, median 3,434 m
Slope, aspect
24°, north-east
Debris cover
0.01 km² (0% of the area)
Inventory image
2016
RGI ids
RGI60-11.02806
In 1850 joined with
Glacier de Corbassière, Combin de Corbassière, Plateau des Maisons Blanches
Sources

Sources

  1. Linsbauer et al. (2021). The new Swiss Glacier Inventory SGI2016. Frontiers in Earth Science 9. doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.704189
  2. Mannerfelt et al. (2022). Halving of Swiss glacier volume since 1931 observed from terrestrial image photogrammetry. The Cryosphere 16. doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-3249-2022
  3. GLAMOS – Glacier Monitoring Switzerland. www.glamos.ch
  4. Zekollari et al. (2024). Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations. The Cryosphere 18 (OGGM v1.6 projections). tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/5045/2024/

Relief: swisstopo swissALTIRegio. 1850 and 1973 outlines: Maisch et al. (2000), Müller et al. (1976), Paul (2004). Length, mass balance and volume change: GLAMOS releases 2025. All sources and methods.

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