Swiss glaciers 1850–2100

Vadret da Sarsura E

IceIce lost since 1850This glacier

Past extents come from the Swiss Glacier Inventories of 1850, 1931, 1973 and 2016. Future extents are illustrative: each glacier’s projected area (OGGM, median of CMIP6 climate models) is removed from its lowest ice upward. About the scenarios.

Inventory 0.118km² Area in 2016 · ±0% compared with 2016
Area 20160.12km²626th largest
Elevation2,721–2,943mmedian 2,816 m
Length0.4kmfaces north
1850 ice body3.8km²now 3 glaciers
Thinning 1985–2022−23maverage surface lowering
Ice left in 21000%of 2020 volume, SSP2-4.5

Vadret da Sarsura E is one of 1,400 glaciers in Switzerland, covering 0.12 km² in the canton of Graubünden. Its ice spans 2,721 to 2,943 m and faces north. Its meltwater drains to the Inn and on to the Black Sea. In 1850 it was part of a larger ice body of 3.8 km², which has since split into 3 glaciers covering 1.1 km² in 2016 (−71%). Between 1985 and 2022 its surface dropped by 23 m on average. With strong climate protection (SSP1-2.6), about 0% of its 2020 ice would remain in 2100. With very high emissions (SSP5-8.5) it would be gone around 2028. Its meltwater peaked around 2019.

Future

What remains in 2100

SSP1-2.6 · low emissionsGoneIce gone around 2027
SSP2-4.5 · intermediate emissionsGoneIce gone around 2026
SSP3-7.0 · high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2027
SSP5-8.5 · very high emissionsGoneIce gone around 2028
SSP1-2.6SSP2-4.5SSP3-7.0SSP5-8.5
0%25%50%75%100%202020402060208021000%0%0%0%
Ice volume as a share of 2020, median of 14 climate models; shaded: middle two-thirds of models. OGGM v1.6.

Meltwater

Million m³ of water per year, 11-year mean

00.20.50.820102030205020702090
Water leaving the glacier area each year: ice melt, snowmelt and rain. It rises while the glacier melts faster, then falls as the ice runs out: “peak water”.
Measured

The record

Thinning since 1985

Average change in surface height, from comparing elevation models made from maps, aerial images and laser scans.

−25 m−20 m−15 m−10 m−5 m0 m1990200020102020−23 m
GLAMOS Swiss Glacier Volume Change, release 2025.
Profile

Facts

Area over time

18503.835 km²19310.637 km²19730.490 km²20160.118 km²2050 · SSP2-4.50.000 km²2100 · SSP2-4.50.000 km²

Past areas are the ice body this glacier belonged to at the time. Projections: OGGM median, SSP2-4.5.

SGI id
E44-02
Canton
Graubünden
River
Inn → Black Sea
Basin
Inn
Location
46.6930° N, 10.0170° E · swisstopo map
Elevation
2,721–2,943 m, median 2,816 m
Slope, aspect
29°, north
Debris cover
0.09 km² (73% of the area)
Inventory image
2015
Ice volume (model)
≈ 0.001 km³ in 2020 (OGGM)
RGI ids
RGI60-11.01180
In 1850 joined with
Vadret da Sarsura, Vadret da Sarsüra SE
Sources

Sources

  1. Linsbauer et al. (2021). The new Swiss Glacier Inventory SGI2016. Frontiers in Earth Science 9. doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.704189
  2. Mannerfelt et al. (2022). Halving of Swiss glacier volume since 1931 observed from terrestrial image photogrammetry. The Cryosphere 16. doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-3249-2022
  3. GLAMOS – Glacier Monitoring Switzerland. www.glamos.ch
  4. Zekollari et al. (2024). Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations. The Cryosphere 18 (OGGM v1.6 projections). tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/5045/2024/

Relief: swisstopo swissALTIRegio. 1850 and 1973 outlines: Maisch et al. (2000), Müller et al. (1976), Paul (2004). Length, mass balance and volume change: GLAMOS releases 2025. All sources and methods.

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